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Chiefs at Washington Football Team spread, odds, picks and trends: Expert predictions for NFL Week 6 game

The Athletic 14 October, 2021 - 09:54pm

Chiefs at Washington Football Team spread, odds, picks and trends: Expert predictions for NFL Week 6 game

The Chiefs are arguably the biggest surprise of 2021 so far, and not for a good reason. They’re 2-3 and rank last in the AFC West with many issues that need immediate attention. Kansas City has the worst scoring defense in football, giving up 32.6 points per game. If you thought a Patrick Mahomes-led offense could mask those issues, think again. The Chiefs have a significant turnover problem, giving up the ball 11 times in four weeks, including a pair of four-turnover games. Kansas City also got banged up in its 38-20 loss to Buffalo. Tyreek Hill suffered a minor knee injury while Joe Thuney fractured a hand, and Clyde Edwards-Helaire is expected to miss time with a sprained MCL. Still, the Chiefs opened as seven-point favorites against Washington. Kansas is just 1-4 against the spread.

Washington is not much better defensively. The Football Team allows the second-most points behind Kansas City, giving up 31 per game. WFT dropped to 2-3 on the year with a 33-22 loss to New Orleans. The 369 yards Washington gave up were the fewest allowed this season, which is all you need to know about the defense. Expect points, points and maybe some more points when these two meet Sunday. An opening point total of 54.5 is a very viable play this weekend.

All odds from BetMGM. Odds updated at 5 p.m. Thursday. Click here for live odds.

Mahomes leads the NFL with 16 touchdown passes and, along with Joe Burrow, is one of two quarterbacks with two touchdown passes in each game this season. Hill has at least five catches and 50 yards in his last three games. The Chiefs still need more from their defense, which is allowing 437.4 yards per game, the second most in the NFL.

Taylor Heinicke has thrown at least two touchdown passes in three of his past four starts. Aiding that effort has been receiver Terry McLaurin, who’s caught at least four passes in his last seven games, and running backs Antonio Gibson and J.D. McKissic, who both have at least 100 receiving yards this season. Washington’s defense has also been impactful tallying the second-most pressures of any team this season with 73. Defensive end Chase Young had his first sack and forced fumble of the season, making him one of three defensive linemen with at least five forced fumbles since 2020.

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